Final Score: Patriots 19 - Dolphins 13
Sunday, October 19, 2003 at 1:03 PM ET

Patriots @ Dolphins

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Patriots
4-2 Rating 1606
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Miami Dolphins +4.2
Dolphins
4-1 Rating 1636
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Patriots Dolphins
All-time wins 27 41
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 18.9 22.3
Last meeting 27 24

Key Season Stats

Stat Patriots Dolphins
Games played 6 5
Avg points scored 21.0 21.0
Avg points conceded 18.8 11.6
Win percentage 67% 80%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 50%