Final Score: Patriots 28 - Dolphins 29
Monday, December 20, 2004 at 9:09 PM ET

Patriots @ Dolphins

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Patriots
12-1 Rating 1807
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
82%
18%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +8.4
Dolphins
2-11 Rating 1436
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Patriots Dolphins
All-time wins 30 41
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 18.9 21.7
Last meeting 24 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Patriots Dolphins
Games played 13 13
Avg points scored 28.1 16.4
Avg points conceded 16.7 22.2
Win percentage 92% 15%
Away win % / Home win % 83% 17%