Final Score: Patriots 13 - Broncos 27
Saturday, January 14, 2006 at 8:16 PM ET

Patriots @ Broncos

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Patriots
11-6 Rating 1729
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Denver Broncos +2.8
Broncos
13-3 Rating 1732
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Patriots Broncos
All-time wins 5 16
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 17.6 26.5
Last meeting 20 28

Key Season Stats

Stat Patriots Broncos
Games played 17 16
Avg points scored 23.9 24.7
Avg points conceded 20.1 16.1
Win percentage 65% 81%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 100%