Final Score: Patriots 21 - Dolphins 22
Sunday, December 6, 2009 at 1:02 PM ET

Patriots @ Dolphins

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Patriots
7-4 Rating 1688
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
67%
33%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +4.1
Dolphins
5-6 Rating 1479
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Patriots Dolphins
All-time wins 36 45
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 19.8 21.8
Last meeting 27 17

Key Season Stats

Stat Patriots Dolphins
Games played 11 11
Avg points scored 27.9 23.3
Avg points conceded 18.4 25.0
Win percentage 64% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 20% 60%