Final Score: Chargers 29 - Broncos 24
Sunday, October 9, 2011 at 4:16 PM ET

Chargers @ Broncos

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Chargers
3-1 Rating 1596
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
72%
28%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Chargers +5.8
Broncos
1-3 Rating 1342
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Chargers Broncos
All-time wins 32 49
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 19.2 20.9
Last meeting 33 28

Key Season Stats

Stat Chargers Broncos
Games played 4 4
Avg points scored 22.8 20.2
Avg points conceded 21.2 27.8
Win percentage 75% 25%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 50%