Final Score: Patriots 16 - Broncos 26
Sunday, January 19, 2014 at 3:06 PM ET

Patriots @ Broncos

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Patriots
13-4 Rating 1757
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Denver Broncos +2.6
Broncos
14-3 Rating 1732
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Patriots Broncos
All-time wins 10 19
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 20.7 24.6
Last meeting 34 31

Key Season Stats

Stat Patriots Broncos
Games played 17 17
Avg points scored 28.6 37.1
Avg points conceded 21.2 24.5
Win percentage 76% 82%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 89%