Final Score: Patriots 26 - Broncos 23
Sunday, December 24, 2023 at 8:15 PM ET

Patriots @ Broncos

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Patriots
3-11 Rating 1369
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
33%
67%
Projected margin: Denver Broncos +5.1
Broncos
7-7 Rating 1451
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Patriots Broncos
All-time wins 13 23
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 21.4 23.5
Last meeting 12 18

Key Season Stats

Stat Patriots Broncos
Games played 14 14
Avg points scored 13.3 21.7
Avg points conceded 21.4 25.1
Win percentage 21% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 57%