Final Score: Bills 21 - Dolphins 14
Sunday, January 7, 2024 at 8:20 PM ET
Bills @ Dolphins
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Bills | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 53 | 59 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average points | 20.8 | 21.8 |
| Last meeting | 48 | 20 |
| Stat | Bills | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 16 | 16 |
| Avg points scored | 26.9 | 30.1 |
| Avg points conceded | 18.6 | 23.1 |
| Win percentage | 62% | 69% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 43% | 88% |
Recent Results
Bills
vs New England Patriots
Dec 31, 2023 · Margin: +6 · Total: 48
27-21
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Dec 23, 2023 · Margin: +2 · Total: 46
24-22
vs Dallas Cowboys
Dec 17, 2023 · Margin: +21 · Total: 41
31-10
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Dec 10, 2023 · Margin: +3 · Total: 37
20-17
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Nov 26, 2023 · Margin: -3 · Total: 71
34-37
vs New York Jets
Nov 19, 2023 · Margin: +26 · Total: 38
32-6
vs Denver Broncos
Nov 13, 2023 · Margin: -2 · Total: 46
22-24
@ Cincinnati Bengals
Nov 5, 2023 · Margin: -6 · Total: 42
18-24
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Oct 26, 2023 · Margin: +6 · Total: 42
24-18
@ New England Patriots
Oct 22, 2023 · Margin: -4 · Total: 54
25-29
Dolphins
@ Baltimore Ravens
Dec 31, 2023 · Margin: -37 · Total: 75
19-56
vs Dallas Cowboys
Dec 24, 2023 · Margin: +2 · Total: 42
22-20
vs New York Jets
Dec 17, 2023 · Margin: +30 · Total: 30
30-0
vs Tennessee Titans
Dec 11, 2023 · Margin: -1 · Total: 55
27-28
@ Washington Commanders
Dec 3, 2023 · Margin: +30 · Total: 60
45-15
@ New York Jets
Nov 24, 2023 · Margin: +21 · Total: 47
34-13
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Nov 19, 2023 · Margin: +7 · Total: 33
20-13
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Nov 5, 2023 · Margin: -7 · Total: 35
14-21
vs New England Patriots
Oct 29, 2023 · Margin: +14 · Total: 48
31-17
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Oct 22, 2023 · Margin: -14 · Total: 48
17-31