Final Score: Saints 17 - Falcons 19
Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
Saints @ Falcons
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Saints | Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 55 | 56 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 21.4 | 21.9 |
| Last meeting | 10 | 24 |
| Stat | Saints | Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 16 | 16 |
| Avg points scored | 18.1 | 20.9 |
| Avg points conceded | 22.8 | 24.0 |
| Win percentage | 38% | 44% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 38% | 43% |
Recent Results
Saints
@ Tennessee Titans
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 60
34-26
vs New York Jets
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +23 · Total: 35
29-6
vs Carolina Panthers
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 37
20-17
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 44
24-20
@ Miami Dolphins
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 38
17-21
vs Atlanta Falcons
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 34
10-24
@ Carolina Panthers
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 24
17-7
@ Los Angeles Rams
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -24 · Total: 44
10-34
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: -20 · Total: 26
3-23
@ Chicago Bears
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: -12 · Total: 40
14-26
Falcons
vs Los Angeles Rams
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 51
27-24
@ Arizona Cardinals
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 45
26-19
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 57
29-28
vs Seattle Seahawks
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: -28 · Total: 46
9-37
@ New York Jets
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 51
24-27
@ New Orleans Saints
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 34
24-10
vs Carolina Panthers
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 57
27-30
@ Indianapolis Colts
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 56
25-31
@ New England Patriots
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 47
23-24
vs Miami Dolphins
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: -24 · Total: 44
10-34