Final Score: Lions 19 - Bears 16
Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET
Lions @ Bears
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lions | Bears |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 54 | 56 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average points | 20.7 | 20.1 |
| Last meeting | 52 | 21 |
| Stat | Lions | Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 16 | 16 |
| Avg points scored | 28.9 | 26.6 |
| Avg points conceded | 24.8 | 24.8 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 69% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 38% | 86% |
Recent Results
Lions
@ Minnesota Vikings
Dec 25, 2025 · Margin: -13 · Total: 33
10-23
vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 53
24-29
@ Los Angeles Rams
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 75
34-41
vs Dallas Cowboys
Dec 4, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 74
44-30
vs Green Bay Packers
Nov 27, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 55
24-31
vs New York Giants
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 61
34-27
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 25
9-16
@ Washington Commanders
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +22 · Total: 66
44-22
vs Minnesota Vikings
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 51
24-27
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Oct 20, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 33
24-9
Bears
@ San Francisco 49ers
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 80
38-42
vs Green Bay Packers
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 38
22-16
vs Cleveland Browns
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: +28 · Total: 34
31-3
@ Green Bay Packers
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 49
21-28
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 39
24-15
vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 59
31-28
@ Minnesota Vikings
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 36
19-17
vs New York Giants
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 44
24-20
@ Cincinnati Bengals
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 89
47-42
@ Baltimore Ravens
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 46
16-30