Final Score: Lightning 3 - Penguins 1
Tuesday, January 13, 2004 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Penguins

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
19-16-6 Rating 1500
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
61%
39%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.4
Penguins
11-28-5 Rating 1407
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Penguins
All-time wins 14 24
Last 5 meetings 2 2
Average goals 2.8 3.4
Last meeting 9 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Penguins
Games played 41 44
Avg goals scored 2.4 1.9
Avg goals conceded 2.1 3.6
Win percentage 46% 25%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 33%