Final Score: Avalanche 5 - Lightning 4
Monday, January 19, 2004 at 7:00 PM ET

Avalanche @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Avalanche
25-13-7 Rating 1570
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: Colorado Avalanche +0.1
Lightning
21-17-6 Rating 1502
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Avalanche Lightning
All-time wins 10 10
Last 5 meetings 3 1
Average goals 3.3 2.6
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Avalanche Lightning
Games played 45 44
Avg goals scored 3.0 2.4
Avg goals conceded 2.2 2.2
Win percentage 56% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 50%