Final Score: Stars 2 - Lightning 4
Monday, January 19, 2009 at 7:00 PM ET

Stars @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Stars
19-24 Rating 1517
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
61%
39%
Projected margin: Dallas Stars +0.4
Lightning
14-31 Rating 1425
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Stars Lightning
All-time wins 18 5
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.1 2.1
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Stars Lightning
Games played 43 45
Avg goals scored 2.9 2.5
Avg goals conceded 3.4 3.1
Win percentage 44% 31%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 25%