Final Score: Lightning 8 - Flames 6
Sunday, March 1, 2009 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Flames

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
20-42 Rating 1418
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
29%
71%
Projected margin: Calgary Flames +1.8
Flames
37-24 Rating 1549
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Flames
All-time wins 14 14
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 2.7 3.1
Last meeting 6 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Flames
Games played 62 61
Avg goals scored 2.5 3.2
Avg goals conceded 3.2 2.9
Win percentage 32% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 67%