Final Score: Penguins 3 - Lightning 1
Tuesday, March 3, 2009 at 7:00 PM ET

Penguins @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Penguins
32-32 Rating 1520
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
62%
38%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Penguins +0.5
Lightning
21-42 Rating 1423
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Penguins Lightning
All-time wins 28 27
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.0 2.9
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Penguins Lightning
Games played 64 63
Avg goals scored 3.0 2.6
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.2
Win percentage 50% 33%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 35%