Final Score: Lightning 6 - Maple Leafs 2
Monday, March 14, 2011 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
38-31 Rating 1487
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.1
Maple Leafs
30-39 Rating 1455
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 22 40
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 2.5 3.3
Last meeting 2 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 69 69
Avg goals scored 3.0 2.6
Avg goals conceded 3.0 3.1
Win percentage 55% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 44%