Final Score: Penguins 4 - Lightning 2
Wednesday, May 18, 2016 at 7:00 PM ET

Penguins @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Penguins
57-38 Rating 1571
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.3
Lightning
55-39 Rating 1558
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Penguins Lightning
All-time wins 49 41
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 3.1 2.9
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Penguins Lightning
Games played 95 94
Avg goals scored 3.0 2.8
Avg goals conceded 2.5 2.4
Win percentage 60% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 64%