Final Score: Lightning 1 - Maple Leafs 2
Tuesday, March 10, 2020 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
43-26 Rating 1591
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
60%
40%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.3
Maple Leafs
35-34 Rating 1507
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 42 55
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 2.7 3.2
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 69 69
Avg goals scored 3.5 3.4
Avg goals conceded 2.8 3.3
Win percentage 62% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 52%