Final Score: Lightning 0 - Maple Leafs 5
Monday, May 2, 2022 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
51-31 Rating 1580
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.4
Maple Leafs
54-28 Rating 1575
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 44 58
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.8 3.1
Last meeting 8 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 82 82
Avg goals scored 3.5 3.8
Avg goals conceded 2.8 3.1
Win percentage 62% 66%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 76%