Final Score: Lightning 1 - Maple Leafs 4
Tuesday, December 20, 2022 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
20-10 Rating 1592
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.1
Maple Leafs
19-13 Rating 1558
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 49 61
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 2.8 3.2
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 30 32
Avg goals scored 3.7 3.2
Avg goals conceded 2.9 2.4
Win percentage 67% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 69%