Final Score: Lightning 3 - Sabres 5
Saturday, March 4, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Sabres

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
37-24 Rating 1572
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
60%
40%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.3
Sabres
31-29 Rating 1487
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Sabres
All-time wins 50 57
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 2.8 3.0
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Sabres
Games played 61 60
Avg goals scored 3.6 3.7
Avg goals conceded 3.0 3.6
Win percentage 61% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 40%