Final Score: Penguins 5 - Lightning 4
Thursday, March 2, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET

Penguins @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Penguins
30-30 Rating 1513
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.0
Lightning
37-23 Rating 1577
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Penguins Lightning
All-time wins 61 51
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 3.2 2.9
Last meeting 7 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Penguins Lightning
Games played 60 60
Avg goals scored 3.2 3.5
Avg goals conceded 3.2 3.0
Win percentage 50% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 73%