Final Score: Lightning 2 - Maple Leafs 7
Thursday, April 20, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
47-36 Rating 1551
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.6
Maple Leafs
50-33 Rating 1566
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 50 63
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 2.8 3.2
Last meeting 7 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 83 83
Avg goals scored 3.5 3.4
Avg goals conceded 3.1 2.8
Win percentage 57% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 64%