Final Score: Maple Leafs 4 - Lightning 6
Wednesday, April 17, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 69 | 52 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.2 | 2.9 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 4 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 81 | 81 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.7 | 3.5 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.2 | 3.3 |
| Win percentage | 57% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 60% | 60% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
@ Florida Panthers
Apr 16, 2024 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Detroit Red Wings
Apr 13, 2024 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs New Jersey Devils
Apr 11, 2024 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ New Jersey Devils
Apr 9, 2024 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Apr 8, 2024 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Montreal Canadiens
Apr 6, 2024 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 3, 2024 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Florida Panthers
Apr 1, 2024 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Buffalo Sabres
Mar 30, 2024 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Washington Capitals
Mar 28, 2024 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
Lightning
vs Buffalo Sabres
Apr 15, 2024 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Washington Capitals
Apr 13, 2024 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Ottawa Senators
Apr 11, 2024 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Apr 9, 2024 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Apr 6, 2024 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Montreal Canadiens
Apr 4, 2024 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 3, 2024 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Detroit Red Wings
Apr 1, 2024 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs New York Islanders
Mar 30, 2024 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Boston Bruins
Mar 27, 2024 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1