Final Score: Maple Leafs 6 - Penguins 5
Sunday, March 2, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Penguins
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 98 | 96 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 5 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 59 | 62 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.2 | 2.9 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.8 | 3.7 |
| Win percentage | 63% | 39% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 61% | 45% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
@ New York Rangers
Feb 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Boston Bruins
Feb 25, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Feb 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Feb 22, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Vancouver Canucks
Feb 8, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Seattle Kraken
Feb 6, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Calgary Flames
Feb 4, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Edmonton Oilers
Feb 1, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Minnesota Wild
Jan 29, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Ottawa Senators
Jan 25, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
Penguins
vs Boston Bruins
Mar 1, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Feb 27, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Feb 25, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs New York Rangers
Feb 23, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Washington Capitals
Feb 22, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Feb 8, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ New York Rangers
Feb 7, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs New Jersey Devils
Feb 4, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Nashville Predators
Feb 1, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Utah Mammoth
Jan 29, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2