Final Score: Senators 5 - Lightning 4
Thursday, October 9, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Senators @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Senators | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 70 | 53 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.5 | 2.8 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 1 |
| Stat | Senators | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 0 | 0 |
| Avg goals scored | - | - |
| Avg goals conceded | - | - |
| Win percentage | - | - |
| Away win % / Home win % | - | - |
Recent Results
Senators
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
May 1, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 29, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 24, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 22, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 20, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Apr 17, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Apr 15, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Apr 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Montreal Canadiens
Apr 11, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
Lightning
vs Florida Panthers
Apr 30, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Florida Panthers
Apr 28, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Florida Panthers
Apr 26, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Florida Panthers
Apr 24, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Florida Panthers
Apr 22, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ New York Rangers
Apr 17, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Florida Panthers
Apr 15, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Buffalo Sabres
Apr 13, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Detroit Red Wings
Apr 11, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4