Final Score: Lightning 2 - Capitals 3
Tuesday, October 14, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Capitals
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 62 | 93 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 2.7 | 3.3 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 1 |
| Stat | Lightning | Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 3 | 3 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.7 | 2.0 |
| Avg goals conceded | 4.3 | 1.7 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 67% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 100% | 0% |
Recent Results
Lightning
@ Boston Bruins
Oct 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs New Jersey Devils
Oct 11, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Ottawa Senators
Oct 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Florida Panthers
Apr 30, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Florida Panthers
Apr 28, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Florida Panthers
Apr 26, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Florida Panthers
Apr 24, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Florida Panthers
Apr 22, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ New York Rangers
Apr 17, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Florida Panthers
Apr 15, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
Capitals
@ New York Rangers
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ New York Islanders
Oct 11, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Boston Bruins
Oct 8, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Carolina Hurricanes
May 15, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Carolina Hurricanes
May 12, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Carolina Hurricanes
May 10, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Carolina Hurricanes
May 8, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Carolina Hurricanes
May 6, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Montreal Canadiens
Apr 30, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Montreal Canadiens
Apr 27, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2