Final Score: Maple Leafs 2 - Red Wings 3
Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Red Wings
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Red Wings |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 139 | 125 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Red Wings |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 37 | 39 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.4 | 3.3 |
| Win percentage | 46% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 33% | 60% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
vs Ottawa Senators
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Dallas Stars
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Nashville Predators
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Washington Capitals
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Dec 16, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Edmonton Oilers
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs San Jose Sharks
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Dec 8, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Montreal Canadiens
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
Red Wings
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Dallas Stars
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Washington Capitals
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Washington Capitals
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Utah Mammoth
Dec 17, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs New York Islanders
Dec 16, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Edmonton Oilers
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Calgary Flames
Dec 10, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Vancouver Canucks
Dec 8, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0