Final Score: Lightning 0 - Maple Leafs 2
Monday, December 8, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET
Lightning @ Maple Leafs
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 53 | 73 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average goals | 2.9 | 3.3 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 4 |
| Stat | Lightning | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 28 | 28 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.1 | 3.4 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.6 | 3.3 |
| Win percentage | 57% | 46% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 62% | 50% |
Recent Results
Lightning
vs New York Islanders
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Dec 4, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ New York Islanders
Dec 2, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ New York Rangers
Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Detroit Red Wings
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Calgary Flames
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Nov 24, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Washington Capitals
Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Edmonton Oilers
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs New Jersey Devils
Nov 18, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
Maple Leafs
vs Montreal Canadiens
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Dec 4, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Florida Panthers
Dec 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Washington Capitals
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Montreal Canadiens
Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs St. Louis Blues
Nov 18, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Nov 15, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3