Final Score: Islanders 2 - Lightning 0
Saturday, December 6, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET

Islanders @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Islanders
15-13 Rating 1492
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.8
Lightning
16-11 Rating 1536
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Islanders Lightning
All-time wins 60 76
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.7 2.9
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Islanders Lightning
Games played 28 27
Avg goals scored 3.0 3.3
Avg goals conceded 2.9 2.6
Win percentage 54% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 57%