Final Score: Penguins 4 - Lightning 3
Thursday, December 4, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Penguins @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Penguins | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 64 | 55 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average goals | 3.2 | 2.9 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 6 |
| Stat | Penguins | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 25 | 26 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.2 | 3.3 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| Win percentage | 52% | 62% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 54% | 62% |
Recent Results
Penguins
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Dec 1, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Buffalo Sabres
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Seattle Kraken
Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Minnesota Wild
Nov 21, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
vs Nashville Predators
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Nashville Predators
Nov 14, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Los Angeles Kings
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ New Jersey Devils
Nov 8, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
Lightning
@ New York Islanders
Dec 2, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ New York Rangers
Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Detroit Red Wings
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Calgary Flames
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Nov 24, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Washington Capitals
Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Edmonton Oilers
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs New Jersey Devils
Nov 18, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Vancouver Canucks
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Florida Panthers
Nov 15, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1