Final Score: Lightning 5 - Capitals 3
Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Capitals
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 63 | 94 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 2.7 | 3.3 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 2 |
| Stat | Lightning | Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 20 | 21 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.0 | 3.2 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.9 | 2.7 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 52% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 56% | 55% |
Recent Results
Lightning
vs Edmonton Oilers
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs New Jersey Devils
Nov 18, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Vancouver Canucks
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Florida Panthers
Nov 15, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs New York Rangers
Nov 12, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Washington Capitals
Nov 8, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Nov 6, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Colorado Avalanche
Nov 4, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Utah Mammoth
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Dallas Stars
Oct 30, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
Capitals
@ Montreal Canadiens
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs Edmonton Oilers
Nov 19, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Los Angeles Kings
Nov 17, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs New Jersey Devils
Nov 15, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Florida Panthers
Nov 13, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Nov 11, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Nov 8, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Nov 6, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs St. Louis Blues
Nov 5, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Buffalo Sabres
Nov 1, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4