Final Score: Rangers 7 - Lightning 3
Wednesday, November 12, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET

Rangers @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rangers
8-9 Rating 1506
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.6
Lightning
8-7 Rating 1525
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rangers Lightning
All-time wins 62 61
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.1 3.0
Last meeting 4 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Rangers Lightning
Games played 17 15
Avg goals scored 2.4 3.1
Avg goals conceded 2.5 2.7
Win percentage 47% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 78% 57%