Final Score: Golden Knights 1 - Lightning 2
Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 5:00 PM ET

Golden Knights @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Golden Knights
5-3 Rating 1542
Form: WWWWL
Golden Knights
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.1
Lightning
2-6 Rating 1504
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Golden Knights Lightning
All-time wins 8 6
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.5 3.2
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Golden Knights Lightning
Games played 8 8
Avg goals scored 3.8 2.8
Avg goals conceded 2.9 3.4
Win percentage 62% 25%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 25%