Final Score: Blackhawks 3 - Lightning 2
Thursday, October 23, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET

Blackhawks @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blackhawks
3-4 Rating 1408
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
33%
67%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5
Lightning
1-5 Rating 1506
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blackhawks Lightning
All-time wins 25 38
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.7 3.0
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Blackhawks Lightning
Games played 7 6
Avg goals scored 3.1 2.7
Avg goals conceded 2.6 3.5
Win percentage 43% 17%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 0%