@ Lightning
4-4
@ Golden Knights
4-4
Playoffs
0-0
VS EXPECTED
Lightning -0.6
Avg Goals
3.3-3.3
Most Recent Winner
Lightning 6-3
Head-To-Head Margin (Max Last 150 Matches)
| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 6–3 | Tampa Bay Lightning +3 | Vegas Golden Knights +0.7 | Regular | |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1–2 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.1 | Regular | |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2–4 | Vegas Golden Knights +2 | Vegas Golden Knights +0.5 | Regular | |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3–4 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.4 | Regular | |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 5–3 | Tampa Bay Lightning +2 | Vegas Golden Knights +0.5 | Regular | |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 4–5 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.0 | Regular | |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 4–3 | Vegas Golden Knights +1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.7 | Regular | |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 4–5 | Vegas Golden Knights +1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.0 | Regular | |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3–2 | Vegas Golden Knights +1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.8 | Regular | |
| Dec 21, 2021 | 4–3 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1 | Vegas Golden Knights +0.2 | Regular | |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3–5 | Vegas Golden Knights +2 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.5 | Regular | |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2–4 | Tampa Bay Lightning +2 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1.3 | Regular | |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3–2 | Vegas Golden Knights +1 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1.2 | Regular | |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 3–2 | Tampa Bay Lightning +1 | Vegas Golden Knights +0.2 | Regular | |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 4–1 | Vegas Golden Knights +3 | Tampa Bay Lightning +0.6 | Regular | |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3–4 | Vegas Golden Knights +1 | Vegas Golden Knights +0.1 | Regular |