Final Score: Capitals 2 - Lightning 3
Saturday, November 8, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Capitals @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Capitals | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 94 | 62 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.3 | 2.7 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 2 |
| Stat | Capitals | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 14 | 14 |
| Avg goals scored | 2.9 | 3.1 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.5 | 2.8 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 50% |
Recent Results
Capitals
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Nov 6, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs St. Louis Blues
Nov 5, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Buffalo Sabres
Nov 1, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs New York Islanders
Oct 31, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Dallas Stars
Oct 28, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Ottawa Senators
Oct 25, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Oct 24, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Seattle Kraken
Oct 21, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Vancouver Canucks
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Minnesota Wild
Oct 17, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
Lightning
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Nov 6, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Colorado Avalanche
Nov 4, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Utah Mammoth
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Dallas Stars
Oct 30, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Nashville Predators
Oct 28, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Anaheim Ducks
Oct 25, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Oct 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Oct 18, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Detroit Red Wings
Oct 17, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2