Final Score: Stars 1 - Lightning 2
Thursday, October 30, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Stars @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Stars | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 32 | 31 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 2.8 | 2.9 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Stars | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 10 | 10 |
| Avg goals scored | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 40% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 75% | 40% |
Recent Results
Stars
vs Washington Capitals
Oct 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Nashville Predators
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Oct 25, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Los Angeles Kings
Oct 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Oct 21, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ St. Louis Blues
Oct 18, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Vancouver Canucks
Oct 16, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Minnesota Wild
Oct 14, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Colorado Avalanche
Oct 11, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Winnipeg Jets
Oct 9, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
Lightning
@ Nashville Predators
Oct 28, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Anaheim Ducks
Oct 25, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Oct 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Oct 18, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Detroit Red Wings
Oct 17, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Washington Capitals
Oct 14, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Boston Bruins
Oct 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs New Jersey Devils
Oct 11, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Ottawa Senators
Oct 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5