Final Score: Lightning 4 - Rangers 1
Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Rangers
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 61 | 63 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.0 | 3.1 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 7 |
| Stat | Lightning | Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 24 | 26 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.3 | 2.7 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.7 | 2.6 |
| Win percentage | 62% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 64% | 20% |
Recent Results
Lightning
@ Detroit Red Wings
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Calgary Flames
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Nov 24, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Washington Capitals
Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Edmonton Oilers
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs New Jersey Devils
Nov 18, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Vancouver Canucks
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Florida Panthers
Nov 15, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs New York Rangers
Nov 12, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Washington Capitals
Nov 8, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
Rangers
@ Boston Bruins
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs St. Louis Blues
Nov 24, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Utah Mammoth
Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Colorado Avalanche
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Nov 18, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Detroit Red Wings
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Nov 15, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Nov 12, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Nashville Predators
Nov 10, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3