Final Score: Lightning 1 - Islanders 2
Tuesday, December 2, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Islanders
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Islanders |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 76 | 59 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average goals | 2.9 | 2.7 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 1 |
| Stat | Lightning | Islanders |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 25 | 26 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.4 | 2.9 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.6 | 3.0 |
| Win percentage | 64% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 67% | 38% |
Recent Results
Lightning
@ New York Rangers
Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Detroit Red Wings
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Calgary Flames
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Nov 24, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Washington Capitals
Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Edmonton Oilers
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs New Jersey Devils
Nov 18, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Vancouver Canucks
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Florida Panthers
Nov 15, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs New York Rangers
Nov 12, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
Islanders
vs Washington Capitals
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Boston Bruins
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Seattle Kraken
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs St. Louis Blues
Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Detroit Red Wings
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Dallas Stars
Nov 18, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Colorado Avalanche
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Utah Mammoth
Nov 14, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Nov 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3