Final Score: Maple Leafs 2 - Capitals 4
Friday, November 28, 2025 at 5:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Capitals
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 74 | 83 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.3 | 3.4 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 5 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 23 | 24 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.3 | 3.3 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.6 | 2.8 |
| Win percentage | 43% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 25% | 57% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Montreal Canadiens
Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs St. Louis Blues
Nov 18, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Nov 15, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Los Angeles Kings
Nov 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Boston Bruins
Nov 11, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Boston Bruins
Nov 8, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Utah Mammoth
Nov 5, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
Capitals
vs Winnipeg Jets
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Nov 24, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Montreal Canadiens
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs Edmonton Oilers
Nov 19, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Los Angeles Kings
Nov 17, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs New Jersey Devils
Nov 15, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Florida Panthers
Nov 13, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Nov 11, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Nov 8, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3