Final Score: Hurricanes 5 - Maple Leafs 4
Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Hurricanes @ Maple Leafs
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.4
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Hurricanes | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 76 | 55 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 4 |
| Stat | Hurricanes | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 14 | 15 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.9 | 3.7 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.7 | 3.7 |
| Win percentage | 71% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 62% | 64% |
Recent Results
Hurricanes
vs Buffalo Sabres
Nov 8, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Minnesota Wild
Nov 6, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ New York Rangers
Nov 4, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Boston Bruins
Nov 1, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs New York Islanders
Oct 30, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Oct 28, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Dallas Stars
Oct 25, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Colorado Avalanche
Oct 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Oct 20, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Los Angeles Kings
Oct 18, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
Maple Leafs
vs Boston Bruins
Nov 8, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Utah Mammoth
Nov 5, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Nov 3, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Nov 1, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Oct 29, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Calgary Flames
Oct 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Buffalo Sabres
Oct 25, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Buffalo Sabres
Oct 24, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs New Jersey Devils
Oct 21, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Seattle Kraken
Oct 18, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4