Final Score: Lightning 6 - Canadiens 1
Tuesday, December 9, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Canadiens
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Canadiens |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 73 | 59 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 3 |
| Stat | Lightning | Canadiens |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 29 | 28 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.0 | 3.3 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.6 | 3.5 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 57% | 47% |
Recent Results
Lightning
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 8, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs New York Islanders
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Dec 4, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ New York Islanders
Dec 2, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ New York Rangers
Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Detroit Red Wings
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Calgary Flames
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Nov 24, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Washington Capitals
Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Edmonton Oilers
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
Canadiens
vs St. Louis Blues
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Winnipeg Jets
Dec 3, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Ottawa Senators
Dec 2, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Colorado Avalanche
Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Utah Mammoth
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Washington Capitals
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Nov 17, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4