Final Score: Jets 5 - Maple Leafs 6
Thursday, January 1, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET

Jets @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Jets
15-23 Rating 1506
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.6
Maple Leafs
18-21 Rating 1524
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Jets Maple Leafs
All-time wins 67 71
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 3.4 3.7
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Jets Maple Leafs
Games played 38 39
Avg goals scored 2.8 3.3
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.3
Win percentage 39% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 35% 57%