Final Score: Capitals 3 - Flames 1
Friday, January 23, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET

Capitals @ Flames

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Capitals
24-27 Rating 1499
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Calgary Flames +0.2
Flames
21-29 Rating 1477
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Capitals Flames
All-time wins 46 48
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.2 3.5
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Capitals Flames
Games played 51 50
Avg goals scored 3.2 2.6
Avg goals conceded 3.0 3.0
Win percentage 47% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 54%