Final Score: Stars 4 - Capitals 1
Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Stars @ Capitals
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Stars | Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 72 | 41 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average goals | 3.5 | 2.8 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 0 |
| Stat | Stars | Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 43 | 43 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 59% | 57% |
Recent Results
Stars
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Montreal Canadiens
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Buffalo Sabres
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Detroit Red Wings
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Anaheim Ducks
Dec 19, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
@ San Jose Sharks
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Los Angeles Kings
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
Capitals
vs Anaheim Ducks
Jan 5, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Ottawa Senators
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs New York Rangers
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Florida Panthers
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ New Jersey Devils
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs New York Rangers
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Detroit Red Wings
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Detroit Red Wings
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0