Final Score: Canadiens 4 - Stars 3
Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET

Canadiens @ Stars

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Canadiens
22-19 Rating 1495
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Dallas Stars +1.0
Stars
25-16 Rating 1555
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Canadiens Stars
All-time wins 129 59
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.7 2.5
Last meeting 0 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Canadiens Stars
Games played 41 41
Avg goals scored 3.3 3.5
Avg goals conceded 3.4 2.8
Win percentage 54% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 60%