Final Score: Stars 4 - Sabres 3
Wednesday, April 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Stars @ Sabres
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Stars | Sabres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 78 | 91 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.0 | 3.3 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 4 |
| Stat | Stars | Sabres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 81 | 81 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.4 | 3.5 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.8 | 2.9 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 62% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 57% | 65% |
Recent Results
Stars
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs New York Rangers
Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Minnesota Wild
Apr 9, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Calgary Flames
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Colorado Avalanche
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Winnipeg Jets
Apr 2, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Boston Bruins
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ New York Islanders
Mar 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
Sabres
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Apr 13, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Apr 9, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ New York Rangers
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Washington Capitals
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Ottawa Senators
Apr 2, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs New York Islanders
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Seattle Kraken
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Detroit Red Wings
Mar 27, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Boston Bruins
Mar 25, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4