| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2021 | 3–4 | Jets +1 | Jets +0.5 | ||
| May 24, 2021 | 1–4 | Panthers +3 | Panthers +0.1 | ||
| May 24, 2021 | 4–2 | Wild +2 | Golden Knights +1.0 | ||
| May 24, 2021 | 2–1 | Maple Leafs +1 | Maple Leafs +0.1 | ||
| May 24, 2021 | 3–2 | Islanders +1 | Penguins +0.7 |