| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2–4 | Kings +2 | Kings +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 5–1 | Kraken +4 | Flames +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 5–3 | Red Wings +2 | Senators +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 4–7 | Capitals +3 | Capitals +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3–2 | Mammoth +1 | Rangers +0.7 | Regular Season |